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Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?

3.0% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 3.1¢

The market prices this at 3.0%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%

Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 3.1¢ / 3.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (3.3%)

Change 24h-1.45pt

Change 7d-1.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,817

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$158 / $1,360

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score50.3 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.04

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 69d 22h.

Time to resolve69d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%