← Explore · Market 1285176
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?
94.5% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 95.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 94.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,351 / $10,441
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1282930171182.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1282930171182.94
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 69d 22h.
Time to resolve69d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%