← Explore · Market 1302038

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

6.2% implied · bid 6.1¢ · ask 6.2¢

The market prices this at 6.1%, down 2.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability6.1%

Bid / ask / mid6.1¢ / 6.2¢ / 6.2¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.6%)

Change 24h-2.20pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$230

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,343 / $2,380

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.4 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.59

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%