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← Explore · Market 1323321

Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?

77.0% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 87.1¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 87.5%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 20.1¢ spread.

Implied probability87.5%
Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 87.1¢ / 77.0¢
Spread20.1¢ (26.1%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d-0.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$231
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.23
RSI (14, hourly)43.1
Realized vol 7d2.47pt
Change 1h-4.90pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth