← Explore · Market 1333258
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
71.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 72.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d+47.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,986
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,957 / $1,864
Imbalance36% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.00
RSI (14, hourly)92.9
Realized vol 7d2.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%