← Explore · Market 1333258
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
34.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 34.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,815
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$455 / $3,739
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.41
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%