← Explore · Market 1339767
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
46.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 47.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 49.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 47.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$23,992
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,255 / $13,368
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score52.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.48
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.56pt
Change 1h-2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%