← Explore · Market 1343456

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.3¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.3¢ (200.0%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $328

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.7 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.16

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%