← Explore · Market 1343457

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.4¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (28.6%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$347

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56 / $462

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.8 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%