← Explore · Market 1343458

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

99.0% implied · bid 98.9¢ · ask 99.1¢

The market prices this at 98.8%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability98.8%

Bid / ask / mid98.9¢ / 99.1¢ / 99.0¢

Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)

Change 24h+0.35pt

Change 7d+0.15pt

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 71% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$4,747

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$101,906 / $61,499

Imbalance71% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score99.0 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.59

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%