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← Explore · Market 1345531

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

54.5% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7d+42.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$52,462
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,008 / $13,734
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)9
Liquidity score57.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 70 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.21
RSI (14, hourly)69.7
Realized vol 7d1.54pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 4h.

Time to resolve129d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth