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← Explore · Market 1353085

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?

1.8% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 2.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.2%, down 1.8pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability4.2%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 2.4¢ / 1.8¢
Spread1.3¢ (74.3%)
Change 24h-1.85pt
Change 7d-1.40pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$281
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $21
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 23 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.99
RSI (14, hourly)23.1
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 139d 22h.

Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth