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← Explore · Market 1353089

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?

0.9% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 1.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.0%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 1.3¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.8¢ (88.9%)
Change 24h-1.35pt
Change 7d-1.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$326
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33 / $7
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.95
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h-0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 139d 22h.

Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth