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← Explore · Market 1353090

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?

7.3% implied · bid 6.7¢ · ask 7.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.7%, down 6.1pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability12.7%
Bid / ask / mid6.7¢ / 7.9¢ / 7.3¢
Spread1.2¢ (16.4%)
Change 24h-6.05pt
Change 7d-6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$320
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56 / $38
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 139d 22h.

Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth