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← Explore · Market 1353091

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?

89.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 90.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 90.0%, up 10.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability90.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+10.00pt
Change 7d+10.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,744
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$610 / $2,145
Imbalance30% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.02
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 139d 22h.

Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth