← Explore · Market 1353091
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
89.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 90.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 90.0%, up 10.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability90.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+10.00pt
Change 7d+10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,744
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$610 / $2,145
Imbalance30% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean5.02
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 139d 22h.
Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%