← Explore · Market 1356656
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
84.0% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 85.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 83.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 84.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$659
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$620 / $4,237
Imbalance59% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 540d 2h.
Time to resolve540d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%