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← Explore · Market 1356656

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

90.5% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 91.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 90.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+7.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 79% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,782
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,971 / $6,176
Imbalance79% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.70
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 494d 3h.

Time to resolve494d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth