← Explore · Market 1363963
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
2.1% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 2.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.2%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.2%
Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 2.2¢ / 2.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$921 / $47
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 57d 21h.
Time to resolve57d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%