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← Explore · Market 1363964

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

97.7% implied · bid 97.6¢ · ask 97.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability97.6%
Bid / ask / mid97.6¢ / 97.7¢ / 97.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.80pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 67% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$286
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17,479 / $19,917
Imbalance67% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score68.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 57d 21h.

Time to resolve57d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth