← Explore · Market 1364105
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
20.0% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (10.0%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,548
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,390 / $494
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 71d 21h.
Time to resolve71d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%