← Explore · Market 1365860

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

3.8% implied · bid 3.3¢ · ask 4.2¢

The market prices this at 3.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%

Bid / ask / mid3.3¢ / 4.2¢ / 3.8¢

Spread0.9¢ (24.0%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d-0.85pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$935

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,515 / $832

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.7 / 100

RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.14

RSI (14, hourly)42.1

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 39d 22h.

Time to resolve39d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%