← Explore · Market 1365861
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
78.0% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 79.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 78.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,741
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,030 / $5,557
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.05
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.88pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%