← Explore · Market 1365862

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.5¢

The market prices this at 0.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.2¢ (50.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,057 / $279

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.24

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 39d 22h.

Time to resolve39d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%