← Explore · Market 1365894
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
61.5% implied · bid 61.0¢ · ask 62.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 60.0%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability60.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-7.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,745
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$445 / $629
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.50
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d0.96pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%