← Explore · Market 1365894
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
54.0% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 55.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,147
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$550 / $4,703
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.01
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d0.72pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 39d 22h.
Time to resolve39d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%