← Explore · Market 1365895
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.5% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 1.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.9%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.
Implied probability3.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.5¢
Spread0.7¢ (48.3%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d-2.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$58 / $133
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.41
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 39d 22h.
Time to resolve39d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%