← Explore · Market 1365897
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4.0% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 4.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.7%, up 2.1pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.
Implied probability3.7%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 4.6¢ / 4.0¢
Spread1.2¢ (30.0%)
Change 24h+2.05pt
Change 7d-0.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$529
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$209 / $85
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 98 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.06
RSI (14, hourly)97.7
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+1.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 39d 22h.
Time to resolve39d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%