← Explore · Market 1365897
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3.9% implied · bid 3.8¢ · ask 3.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.4%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.4%
Bid / ask / mid3.8¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+0.65pt
Change 7d-3.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$223 / $5
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.74
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%