← Explore · Market 1383905
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
70.5% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 71.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 70.0%, down 8.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability70.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 71.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h-8.50pt
Change 7d-12.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$57,680
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,121 / $544
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score50.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.92
RSI (14, hourly)34.9
Realized vol 7d1.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%