← Explore · Market 1383905
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
61.5% implied · bid 58.0¢ · ask 65.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 53.0%, up 8.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (11.4%)
Change 24h+8.50pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$534
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $53
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 79 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.80
RSI (14, hourly)79.5
Realized vol 7d2.99pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%