← Explore · Market 1390948
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d-9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,685
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$278 / $682
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.77
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.42pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%