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← Explore · Market 1395755

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

39.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 40.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 35.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability35.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 39.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,841
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$242 / $406
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.90
RSI (14, hourly)47.8
Realized vol 7d1.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 92d 22h.

Time to resolve92d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth