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← Explore · Market 1395757

Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?

0.3% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.4¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.3¢ (120.0%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d-0.25pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$478,196
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $20
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)148
Liquidity score48.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.42
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 92d 21h.

Time to resolve92d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth