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← Explore · Market 1435843

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

89.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 90.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 61% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$4,545
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,915 / $737
Imbalance61% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 30 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.98
RSI (14, hourly)30.0
Realized vol 7d1.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 540d 2h.

Time to resolve540d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth