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← Explore · Market 1435844

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

65.0% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 67.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 65.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 65.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.2%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+8.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$100
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$749 / $284
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.44
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d1.22pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 540d 2h.

Time to resolve540d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth