← Explore · Market 1439536
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
0.9% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.2¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,650
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$408 / $1,550
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.79
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%