← Explore · Market 1439549

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

4.8% implied · bid 4.7¢ · ask 4.8¢

The market prices this at 4.1%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability4.1%

Bid / ask / mid4.7¢ / 4.8¢ / 4.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (2.1%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d-0.70pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,301 / $10,192

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score55.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.71

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.06pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%