← Explore · Market 1439549
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
1.6% implied · bid 1.5¢ · ask 1.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid1.5¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,159
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$490 / $1,936
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.26
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 44d 2h.
Time to resolve44d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%