← Explore · Market 1439550
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
14.0% implied · bid 13.2¢ · ask 14.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.9%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.
Implied probability11.9%
Bid / ask / mid13.2¢ / 14.8¢ / 14.0¢
Spread1.6¢ (11.4%)
Change 24h+0.65pt
Change 7d+1.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$385 / $8,716
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.39
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%