← Explore · Market 1439550

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

4.5% implied · bid 4.1¢ · ask 4.8¢

The market prices this at 4.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability4.9%

Bid / ask / mid4.1¢ / 4.8¢ / 4.5¢

Spread0.7¢ (15.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$958

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,088 / $1,097

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.80

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 75d 3h.

Time to resolve75d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%