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Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

21.5% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

The market prices this at 20.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability20.0%

Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+2.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,013 / $4,017

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.27

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.15pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%