← Explore · Market 1439555
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,027
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,185 / $1,598
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.14
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 136d 3h.
Time to resolve136d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%