← Explore · Market 1469737

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

82.2% implied · bid 82.1¢ · ask 82.3¢

The market prices this at 82.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability82.3%

Bid / ask / mid82.1¢ / 82.3¢ / 82.2¢

Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.35pt

Deep and tight (score 86/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,740

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,814 / $63,361

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score85.6 / 100

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.96

RSI (14, hourly)25.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%