← Explore · Market 1469737

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

82.7% implied · bid 82.5¢ · ask 82.8¢

The market prices this at 82.5%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability82.5%

Bid / ask / mid82.5¢ / 82.8¢ / 82.7¢

Spread0.3¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+0.25pt

Change 7d-0.85pt

Deep and tight (score 94/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,750

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,760 / $85,737

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score94.2 / 100

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.31

RSI (14, hourly)39.5

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 173d 22h.

Time to resolve173d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%