← Explore · Market 1469743

Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

0.2% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.3¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.2¢

Spread0.2¢ (100.0%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d+0.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,390,666

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$958 / $139

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)38

Liquidity score49.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.67

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%