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Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?

56.5% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 57.0¢

The market prices this at 56.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability56.0%

Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 57.0¢ / 56.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)

Change 24h+7.00pt

Change 7d+12.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,426

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$320 / $1,509

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.9 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.38

RSI (14, hourly)59.2

Realized vol 7d2.09pt

Change 1h+4.00pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%