← Explore · Market 1493236
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
44.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 45.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d-8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,048
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$774 / $982
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.26
RSI (14, hourly)37.0
Realized vol 7d1.52pt
Change 1h-4.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%