← Explore · Market 1553591
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,964
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,678 / $882
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score41.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.42
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%