← Explore · Market 1654956

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$526,900

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,768 / $6,075

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score55.4 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 574752716690402.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-574752716690402.50

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 18d 21h.

Time to resolve18d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%