← Explore · Market 1654957

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

0.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$183,029

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,316 / $4,598

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score60.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.60

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 18d 22h.

Time to resolve18d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%