← Explore · Market 1654958

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

84.5% implied · bid 84.0¢ · ask 85.0¢

The market prices this at 85.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability85.0%

Bid / ask / mid84.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 84.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+7.00pt

Change 7d-5.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$607,596

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$61,480 / $1,344,402

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)21

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 80 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.15

RSI (14, hourly)80.0

Realized vol 7d0.63pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 18d 22h.

Time to resolve18d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%