← Explore · Market 1654959
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14.6% implied · bid 14.6¢ · ask 14.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.8%, down 7.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability14.8%
Bid / ask / mid14.6¢ / 14.7¢ / 14.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)
Change 24h-7.30pt
Change 7d+5.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$223,639
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$141,033 / $21,185
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)13
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 13 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.30
RSI (14, hourly)13.4
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 18d 22h.
Time to resolve18d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%