← Explore · Market 1654960

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.3¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (40.0%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$150,375

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,730 / $2,370

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score54.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.46

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.06pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 18d 22h.

Time to resolve18d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%