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← Explore · Market 1697034

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

85.5% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 86.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 86.0%, up 9.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+9.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$35,977
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$59,900 / $151,304
Imbalance29% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 92 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.04
RSI (14, hourly)91.7
Realized vol 7d0.64pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 18d 21h.

Time to resolve18d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth