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← Explore · Market 1697035

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.5¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.2¢ (50.0%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-0.70pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,578
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$144 / $833
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.20
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 18d 21h.

Time to resolve18d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth