← Explore · Market 1697038

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

15.0% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 15.1¢

The market prices this at 15.0%, down 7.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%

Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 15.1¢ / 15.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)

Change 24h-7.80pt

Change 7d+5.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$36,314

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,155 / $6,234

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score57.7 / 100

RSI 3 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.32

RSI (14, hourly)2.5

Realized vol 7d0.57pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 18d 21h.

Time to resolve18d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%