← Explore · Market 1731346

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%

Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,266

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,221 / $5,247

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score50.2 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.83

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%