← Explore · Market 1796138

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

The market prices this at 13.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%

Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7d+3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$24,109

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,225 / $3,978

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score50.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.22

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.14pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%