← Explore · Market 1807912

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

4.3% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 4.5¢

The market prices this at 4.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability4.2%

Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 4.5¢ / 4.3¢

Spread0.3¢ (6.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,083

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$833 / $229

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 174d 9h.

Time to resolve174d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%